Society & law●●●●●Difficulty 1 of 5

Can you win an election with fewer than half the votes?

In a textbook vote on where Tennessee should put its capital, the winner is the city that 58% of voters liked least.

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Yes, under plurality voting it is allowed. Each voter marks one name, and the candidate who polls more than any other wins. Nobody is required to reach a majority. The leading candidate is elected whether or not they have more than half the votes, and in its single-seat form the system is sometimes called "first-past-the-post".

Here is how odd that can get, using an illustrative example. Imagine Tennessee voting on where to put its capital. The population is split between four cities, and every voter wants the capital as close to home as possible. If each voter simply picks their own city, Memphis is chosen, because it has the most votes at 42%. Yet 58% of the voters preferred Memphis least.

How the capital vote goes wrong
  1. Step 1: Everyone votes for their own city

    Four cities, every voter wants the capital close to home

  2. Step 2: Memphis has the most votes

    42%, so plurality picks it

  3. Step 3: 58% liked Memphis least

    The winner is most voters' worst option

  4. Step 4: A different vote, a different winner

    If the Chattanooga and Knoxville voters had backed Nashville, it would win with 58%

A different result was within reach. If everyone who voted for Chattanooga or Knoxville had voted for Nashville instead, Nashville would have won with 58%. That would only have been the third choice for those voters, but by voting for their own first choices they ended up with their fourth choice, Memphis.

Plurality voting is among the simplest of all electoral systems for voters and for the people counting the ballots. It spread throughout the English-speaking world with the British Empire, including most of the United States, although more countries now use some form of proportional representation than use plurality or a runoff.

Quiz me

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  1. 1.In the Tennessee capital example, why does Memphis win under plurality voting?
  2. 2.How does a two-round system differ from plurality voting?
  3. 3.Why do many voters under plurality voting feel pressure not to vote for a small candidate they actually prefer?

Recap

Under plurality voting the most votes wins, so splitting the vote can hand victory to the candidate most voters like least.

💡 A trick to remember it · Plurality is a race with no finish line at halfway: whoever is simply first past the post wins, however far behind the rest are.

Surprising fact · In the Tennessee capital example, Memphis wins with 42% although 58% of voters preferred it least.

Sources (1)

No source, no claim. Every fact in this lesson (19 claims) cites at least one of these.

  1. [1]Plurality voting · Wikipedia
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